8. Shocks and the Sedov–Taylor blast wave

What a fluid with no length in its equations can do; and a prediction made in 1941, tested against twenty-five photographs of 1945.

Contents

1. A fluid with no length

Write out the equations of Module 2 and look for a length in them. There is none. Continuity, Euler and the energy equation contain densities, velocities, pressures and derivatives, and not one intrinsic scale — the viscosity and conductivity that would supply one were dropped in Module 2 on the strength of Module 1's Knudsen numbers. Every module since has treated that as a licence to work with smooth fields. This one treats it as a licence to do the opposite.

If the equations contain no length, nothing in them forbids a solution in which $\rho$, $v$ and $p$ change by a finite amount across zero distance. Such a surface is a shock. The physical layer is of course not of zero thickness: Problem D2 works out that in sea-level air it is a few mean free paths, about $2\times10^{-5}\ \mathrm{cm}$, which is $2\times10^{8}$ times thinner than the Trinity fireball was one millisecond after detonation. Against every other length in the problem that is zero, and the idealisation is safe by eight orders of magnitude.

The gain from the idealisation is larger than it first appears. Because the layer is unresolved, no equation of motion inside it is available — and none is needed. The three conservation laws, integrated across the layer, relate the state on one side to the state on the other with nothing said about the constitutive physics of the interior at all. That is §2, and it is the whole of shock theory in three lines. What comes out is not a small correction: the downstream gas can be a hundred times hotter than the upstream gas, and the ratio is fixed by the upstream Mach number alone.

A second absence of length drives the rest of the module. Deposit an energy $E$ at a point, instantaneously, in a uniform gas of density $\rho_0$, and ask for the radius $R(t)$ of the shock that runs out from it. The problem contains $E$, $\rho_0$ and $t$ and nothing else — no length, again. There is exactly one length that can be built from those three, so $R$ must be proportional to $(Et^2/\rho_0)^{1/5}$ and the exponent $2/5$ is settled before any dynamics is done. That argument is §4, and G. I. Taylor made it in 1941.

Four years later the argument met a test that no theoretician arranges for himself. On 16 July 1945 the first nuclear device was fired in New Mexico, and the fireball was photographed by a high-speed camera with a length scale in the frame. In 1950 Taylor published twenty-five radii against twenty-five times, read off that film, and compared them with the prediction he had made nine years before seeing it. §5 repeats the comparison from his own table, and finds two things: the exponent is confirmed to better than two and a half per cent over a factor of 620 in time, and the model that produced the exponent is refuted by the residuals from the very same fit. Both statements come from one table, and the second is the more instructive.

The module then leaves the laboratory twice. §6 uses a shock that a spacecraft flew through and measured from inside — Voyager 2 at the solar-wind termination shock in 2007, with Neptune's bow shock from the same instrument eighteen years earlier as a control. The control confirms the compression ceiling exactly; the termination shock refutes the single-fluid closure this book has used since Module 2, and the way it fails is precisely the way Module 1 said a collisionless plasma would fail. §7 then follows a supernova remnant from the moment the Sedov solution becomes valid to the moment it stops being valid, and §8 pays a debt: Module 7 closed by recording that its Rayleigh–Taylor half had no astronomical check anywhere in Modules 1–10. It has one now, and the check refutes the transfer.

2. The jump conditions

Everything in this module is a statement about the configuration defined next, and every hypothesis it carries is listed once here so that the propositions can name it rather than restate it.

Definition 1 (the shock). A surface across which $\rho$, $v$ and $p$ are discontinuous, of thickness negligible against every other length in the problem, moving through the gas at speed $D$. All quantities below are measured in the rest frame of the surface, in which the flow is steady and, locally, one-dimensional along the normal $\hat n$. Subscript $1$ denotes the state ahead of the surface (upstream) and subscript $2$ the state behind it (downstream), with $v_1, v_2 \gt 0$ the normal flow speeds in that frame, so the gas passes from side $1$ to side $2$. Far enough on each side of the surface the gas is uniform: $\mathrm{d}v/\mathrm{d}n = 0$ and $\mathrm{d}T/\mathrm{d}n = 0$ there. That, and not the thickness itself, is what Proposition 1 uses. The gas is an ideal polytropic gas of ratio of specific heats $\gamma$ on both sides, with specific enthalpy $w = \gamma p/[(\gamma-1)\rho]$.

Three hypotheses there will be paid for later, and it is worth naming which section pays. Steady in the surface frame fails when the shock accelerates on a timescale comparable to the crossing time; it does not fail for any case in this module. Polytropic with the same $\gamma$ on both sides is the assumption §5 finds broken at Trinity, where dissociation, vibration and radiation all act behind the front and Taylor argues — with evidence, and not quite successfully — that they cancel. One fluid, one temperature is the assumption §6 finds broken at the termination shock, where the energy goes to a population of pickup ions that the single-fluid description has no room for.

Definition 2 (the upstream Mach number). $$ M_1 \;\equiv\; \frac{v_1}{c_1}, \qquad c_1 \;=\; \sqrt{\frac{\gamma p_1}{\rho_1}}, \tag{2.1}$$ with $v_1$ the normal flow speed in the frame of the surface, which is the speed at which the shock advances into gas that is at rest in the laboratory. $c_1$ is the adiabatic sound speed of Module 4 Proposition 1, evaluated in the upstream gas. A shock is called strong when $M_1 \gg 1$; Problem D1 puts a number on how large that has to be.
upstream (1) ρ₁, v₁, p₁ downstream (2) ρ₂, v₂, p₂ ρ₁v₁, ρ₁v₁²+p₁, ρ₁v₁(w₁+v₁²/2) ρ₂v₂, ρ₂v₂²+p₂, ρ₂v₂(w₂+v₂²/2) ? thickness unstated; interior never used each of the three fluxes in = out
The control volume of Proposition 1. The grey band is the shock layer, drawn with no stated thickness because none is used. Three fluxes enter on the left and three leave on the right, and the content of the proposition is that each pair is equal. The question mark is the point of the figure: the interior of the band contains viscous stress, heat conduction and, at Trinity, dissociation and radiation, and none of it appears anywhere in the result.

Fig. 1 is the whole proof in a picture, and the question mark in the middle of it is the content of the proposition.

Proposition 1 (the Rankine–Hugoniot conditions). Across the surface of Definition 1, $$ \rho_1 v_1 \;=\; \rho_2 v_2, \tag{2.2}$$ $$ \rho_1 v_1^2 + p_1 \;=\; \rho_2 v_2^2 + p_2, \tag{2.3}$$ $$ w_1 + \tfrac12 v_1^2 \;=\; w_2 + \tfrac12 v_2^2, \qquad w = \frac{\gamma}{\gamma-1}\frac{p}{\rho}. \tag{2.4}$$ No constitutive property of the interior enters: no value of the viscosity, the conductivity or the layer thickness appears in (2.2)–(2.4), and no equation of motion inside the layer is used.
The equations to integrate are the conservation forms of Module 2 — Module 2 Proposition 1 for mass, Proposition 2 for momentum and Proposition 5 for total energy — with the dissipative fluxes put back. They must be put back, because the layer is exactly the region where Module 1's Knudsen argument for dropping them fails; that failure is what makes the layer a shock. In the frame of Definition 1, where $\partial_t = 0$ and only the normal derivative survives, each equation reads $\mathrm{d}F/\mathrm{d}n = S$ with $$ F_{\rm mass} = \rho v, \qquad F_{\rm mom} = \rho v^2 + p - \sigma_{nn}, \qquad F_{\rm en} = \rho v\left(w + \tfrac12 v^2\right) - \sigma_{nn}v - q_n, $$ where $\sigma_{nn}$ is the normal viscous stress, $q_n$ the conductive heat flux along the normal, and $S$ collects the bounded volume sources — gravity in the momentum equation, radiative gain and loss per unit volume in the energy equation. Integrate each from $n = -\epsilon$ to $n = +\epsilon$, with $\epsilon$ chosen outside the layer on both sides, so that both endpoints lie in the uniform gas of Definition 1. Two things then happen, and they happen only because of where the endpoints were put. First, $\sigma_{nn}$ and $q_n$ are built from $\mathrm{d}v/\mathrm{d}n$ and $\mathrm{d}T/\mathrm{d}n$, and both gradients vanish at the endpoints, so the dissipative terms drop out of $F(+\epsilon)$ and $F(-\epsilon)$ however large they are in between. Second, $\int_{-\epsilon}^{+\epsilon}S\,\mathrm{d}n \to 0$ as the layer thickness goes to zero, because $S$ is bounded. What survives is $F(+\epsilon) = F(-\epsilon)$ for each of the three, with every $F$ evaluated where its dissipative part is zero, and that is (2.2)–(2.4). Dividing the third by the first, which is legitimate because $\rho v \neq 0$ for a shock, turns the energy flux equality into the enthalpy form (2.4). ∎

Three remarks on what the proof used, and one on what it did not. It required each equation to be a divergence, which is why the conservation forms were taken and not the convective ones: $\partial_t(\rho v)$ written as $\rho[\partial_t v + (v\cdot\nabla)v]$ is not a divergence and cannot be integrated across a discontinuity. It required the endpoints to lie in gas with no gradients, which is the whole working content of "the thickness is negligible": the layer must be thin enough that uniform gas is reached on both sides before anything else in the problem has changed. And it required every source to be a bounded volume source, so a layer that radiates away a finite amount of energy per unit area — a surface loss, not a bounded volume loss — breaks (2.4). That is the isothermal shock of Proposition 4, where (2.4) is deliberately replaced. What the proof did not use is any value of $\sigma_{nn}$, of $q_n$ or of the thickness, any equation of state inside the layer, or any assumption that the gas in there is in local thermodynamic equilibrium. That, and only that, is the sense in which the interior is not modelled.

The three fluxes are stated here for a gas with no magnetic field. A magnetised shock carries two further jump conditions, on the normal and tangential components of $\mathbf B$, and the momentum flux acquires the magnetic terms of Module 2. §6 uses a shock that is magnetised and quasi-perpendicular, and it is careful to compare only the quantities for which the difference does not matter; the place where it would matter is named there and the comparison is refused.

It is worth pausing on how little was assumed. Nothing was said about viscosity, about heat conduction, about how thick the layer is or about whether the gas inside it is even in local thermodynamic equilibrium. All of that is real, and all of it is invisible to (2.2)–(2.4). What the conservation laws give up in exchange is any information about the structure of the transition: they say where the gas ends up, never how it got there. Problem D2 shows that the trade is a good one in air and a very bad one at the termination shock, where the layer is $10^5$ to $10^6$ times thinner than a collisional mean free path and the phrase "local thermodynamic equilibrium" has no referent at all.

3. What the jumps say: a ceiling, a direction, and an escape

Proposition 1 is three equations in the three downstream unknowns $\rho_2$, $v_2$, $p_2$, given the upstream state. Solving them is algebra, and the answer is worth more than the algebra.

Proposition 2 (the jump ratios, and the ceiling on compression). For the gas of Definition 1, the non-trivial solution of (2.2)–(2.4) is $$ \frac{\rho_2}{\rho_1} \;=\; \frac{(\gamma+1)M_1^2}{(\gamma-1)M_1^2+2}, \qquad \frac{p_2}{p_1} \;=\; \frac{2\gamma M_1^2-(\gamma-1)}{\gamma+1}, \tag{3.1}$$ $$ \frac{T_2}{T_1} \;=\; \frac{p_2/p_1}{\rho_2/\rho_1}, \qquad M_2^2 \;=\; \frac{(\gamma-1)M_1^2+2}{2\gamma M_1^2-(\gamma-1)}. \tag{3.2}$$ As $M_1\to\infty$ the density ratio saturates at $$ \left.\frac{\rho_2}{\rho_1}\right|_{\max} \;=\; \frac{\gamma+1}{\gamma-1}, \tag{3.3}$$ which is $4$ for $\gamma = 5/3$ and $6$ for $\gamma = 7/5$, while $p_2/p_1$ and $T_2/T_1$ grow without bound, both as $M_1^2$.
Write $r = \rho_2/\rho_1$. Mass conservation (2.2) gives $v_2 = v_1/r$. Substituting into the momentum condition (2.3), $$ p_2 - p_1 \;=\; \rho_1v_1^2\left(1-\frac1r\right), $$ and dividing by $p_1 = \rho_1c_1^2/\gamma$ turns it into $p_2/p_1 = 1 + \gamma M_1^2(1-1/r)$. Put that and $v_2 = v_1/r$ into the enthalpy condition (2.4), multiply through by $(\gamma-1)/c_1^2$, and the result is a quadratic in $r$ whose two roots are $r = 1$ — the trivial solution, no shock — and the first of (3.1). The pressure ratio follows by back-substitution, the temperature ratio from the ideal gas law $T \propto p/\rho$, and $M_2$ from $M_2^2 = v_2^2\rho_2/(\gamma p_2) = (v_1^2/r^2)(r\rho_1)/(\gamma p_2)$. Taking $M_1\to\infty$ in the first of (3.1) leaves $(\gamma+1)/(\gamma-1)$, which is (3.3). ∎

The two behaviours in Proposition 2 are physically different and the contrast is the point of Fig. 2. Compression is bounded because the gas that piles up behind the front pushes back, and past a certain density no increase in the ram pressure can make it denser; heating is unbounded because the kinetic energy that has to go somewhere goes into internal energy, and internal energy has no ceiling. A strong shock is a device for making a hot gas, not a dense one. That single sentence explains why supernova remnants shine in X-rays rather than looking like dense shells, and why §7 can speak of $10^8\ \mathrm{K}$ gas at a density of a few particles per cubic centimetre.

The ceiling is approached quickly. At $\gamma = 5/3$, a Mach 3 shock has reached 75.00 per cent of it, Mach 5 gives 89.29 per cent, Mach 10 gives 97.09 per cent and Mach 30 gives 99.67 per cent. Problem D1 asks for the Mach number at which 99 per cent is reached and gets $M_1 = 17.2$ for $\gamma = 5/3$ and $22.2$ for $\gamma = 7/5$; the Trinity shock at one millisecond was at $M_1 = 43$ and was therefore strong by any measure.

Compression has a ceiling 1 2 3 5 10 20 50 100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 upstream Mach number M₁ ρ₂ / ρ₁ γ = 7/5: ceiling 6 γ = 5/3: ceiling 4 isothermal: M₁², no ceiling The second law picks the sign 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 upstream Mach number M₁ entropy jump Δs / k per particle γ = 7/5 γ = 5/3 M₁ < 1 Δs < 0 forbidden Both panels are the three conservation laws of Module 2 integrated across the layer; nothing inside it is modelled.
Left: the density ratio across a normal shock against upstream Mach number, for $\gamma = 5/3$ and $\gamma = 7/5$, with the isothermal law of Proposition 4 dashed for contrast at the same speed, which on this axis is $ ho_2/ ho_1 = \mathcal{M}^2 = \gamma M_1^2$. Both adiabatic curves flatten against their ceilings, $4$ and $6$; the isothermal curve leaves the top of the panel before Mach 3 and never turns over. Right: the entropy jump of Proposition 3, zero at $M_1 = 1$, positive above and negative below, with the forbidden branch marked. The left panel is why a strong shock cannot make a dense gas and the right panel is why it cannot run the other way.

3.1 Why there is no such thing as a rarefaction shock

Nothing in Proposition 1 prefers one direction. Put $M_1 \lt 1$ into (3.1) and the formulae return perfectly finite ratios: at $M_1 = 0.7$ and $\gamma = 5/3$ they give $\rho_2/\rho_1 = 0.5616$ and $p_2/p_1 = 0.3625$, a jump from dense to rarefied that satisfies mass, momentum and energy conservation exactly. Such a thing is never seen. The reason is not in the conservation laws, and this is the only place in Modules 1–8 where the selection is made by thermodynamics rather than by dynamics.

Proposition 3 (the entropy jump fixes the direction). Across the surface of Definition 1, the entropy change per particle is $$ \frac{\Delta s}{k_B} \;=\; \frac{1}{\gamma-1}\,\ln\!\left[\frac{p_2}{p_1}\left(\frac{\rho_1}{\rho_2}\right)^{\!\gamma}\right], \tag{3.4}$$ with the ratios of (3.1). It is zero at $M_1 = 1$, positive for $M_1 \gt 1$ and negative for $M_1 \lt 1$. The second law therefore admits only $M_1 \gt 1$: a shock is always compressive, and always advances into its gas supersonically.
For an ideal gas the entropy per particle is $s = c_v\ln(p\rho^{-\gamma}) + \text{const}$ with $c_v = k_B/(\gamma-1)$, which gives (3.4) directly. Set $M_1 = 1+\epsilon$ and expand both ratios of (3.1) to third order in $\epsilon$. The first-order and second-order terms cancel identically in the combination (3.4), and what survives is $$ \frac{\Delta s}{k_B} \;=\; \frac{16\gamma}{3(\gamma+1)^2}\,\epsilon^3 + O(\epsilon^4), $$ an odd leading power. An odd leading power is the whole argument: $\Delta s$ changes sign with $\epsilon$, so the two branches are not symmetric and exactly one of them is admissible. The sign is confirmed away from $M_1 = 1$ by evaluation: at $\gamma = 5/3$, $\Delta s/k_B = +0.00101$ at $M_1 = 1.1$, $+0.85031$ at $M_1 = 3$, and $-0.00159$ at $M_1 = 0.9$, $-1.21225$ at $M_1 = 0.5$. ∎

A second obstruction sits below the first, and it is worth separating because it is not thermodynamic at all. The pressure ratio in (3.1) vanishes at $M_1 = \sqrt{(\gamma-1)/2\gamma}$, which is $0.4472$ for $\gamma = 5/3$, and goes negative below it — at $M_1 = 0.4$ it returns $p_2/p_1 = -0.0500$. Below that Mach number the "rarefaction shock" is not a solution that the second law forbids; it is not a solution at all, because it would require a negative pressure. So the two objections are of different kinds and cover different ranges, and Problem C3 asks the reader to state both.

What happens instead is a rarefaction fan: an expansion spreads out into a continuous region whose width grows with time, because each characteristic in it travels at its own speed and the faster ones run ahead. This module does not derive it. What matters here is why one is needed — the discontinuous alternative is forbidden — and that is a statement Proposition 3 makes without any further machinery.

3.2 The escape: a shock that radiates

The ceiling (3.3) is a consequence of (2.4), and (2.4) assumed that no energy leaves the layer. Molecular gas radiates efficiently, and a dense shocked molecular cloud can lose its thermal energy far faster than the gas crosses the layer. Then the correct closure is not "no losses" but "the temperature does not change", and the ceiling disappears.

Proposition 4 (the isothermal shock). Replace (2.4) by $T_2 = T_1$, keeping (2.2) and (2.3). Then $$ \frac{\rho_2}{\rho_1} \;=\; \mathcal{M}^2, \qquad \mathcal{M} \;\equiv\; \frac{v_1}{c_T}, \quad c_T \;=\; \sqrt{\frac{k_BT}{\mu m_u}}, \tag{3.5}$$ and there is no upper bound on the compression.
With $T$ fixed, $p = \rho c_T^2$ on both sides. Mass conservation gives $v_2 = v_1\rho_1/\rho_2$, and momentum conservation becomes $$ \rho_1v_1^2 + \rho_1c_T^2 \;=\; \rho_2 v_2^2 + \rho_2c_T^2 \;=\; \frac{\rho_1^2v_1^2}{\rho_2} + \rho_2c_T^2. $$ Writing $r = \rho_2/\rho_1$ and dividing by $\rho_1c_T^2$ gives $\mathcal{M}^2 + 1 = \mathcal{M}^2/r + r$, whose roots are $r = 1$ and $r = \mathcal{M}^2$. ∎

The numbers are startling and they matter for the rest of the book. Molecular hydrogen at $10\ \mathrm{K}$ with $\mu = 2.33$ has $c_T = 0.189\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$. A $10\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$ flow — a very ordinary speed in the interstellar medium, far below anything a supernova produces — is then at $\mathcal{M} = 52.9$ and compresses the gas by a factor $2802$. Put the same speed through an adiabatic shock and it is at $M_1 = \mathcal{M}/\sqrt\gamma = 41.0$, because the adiabatic sound speed in the same gas is $\sqrt\gamma\,c_T = 0.244\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$, and it compresses by $3.993$. That is three orders of magnitude, and it is why the dense filaments in which Module 5's Jeans criterion is actually met are made by shocks and not by gravity alone. The whole difference is one closure: whether the layer keeps its heat or radiates it away. ($\gamma = 5/3$ and not $7/5$ is right for H₂ at $10\ \mathrm{K}$: the rotational levels of the molecule have a characteristic temperature near $85\ \mathrm{K}$ and are frozen out at $10\ \mathrm{K}$, leaving only the three translational degrees of freedom.)

$\mathcal{M}$, the isothermal Mach number of (3.5), is written in a different typeface from $M_1$ deliberately. They are ratios to different speeds — $c_T$ is the isothermal sound speed, smaller than the adiabatic $c$ of Definition 2 by $\sqrt\gamma$ — so quoting a Mach number for a radiating shock without saying which one is quoted is an error of a factor $1.29$ at $\gamma = 5/3$. This book uses $M$ for adiabatic and $\mathcal{M}$ for isothermal throughout this module and nowhere else.

4. The Sedov–Taylor blast wave

Deposit energy $E$ at a point at $t = 0$, in a uniform gas of density $\rho_0$ and negligible pressure, and follow the shock that runs outward. The problem is the cleanest use in this book of an argument that needs no equations at all.

Proposition 5 (the exponent, from dimensions alone). If the flow depends on no quantity other than $E$, $\rho_0$ and $t$, then the shock radius is $$ R(t) \;=\; \xi_0\left(\frac{E\,t^2}{\rho_0}\right)^{1/5}, \tag{4.1}$$ with $\xi_0$ a dimensionless number. The exponent $2/5$ is forced, and no property of the gas enters it.
In the dimensions $[\text{mass}]$, $[\text{length}]$, $[\text{time}]$, $E$ has dimensions $\mathrm{M\,L^2\,T^{-2}}$, $\rho_0$ has $\mathrm{M\,L^{-3}}$ and $t$ has $\mathrm{T}$. Seek $R = E^a\rho_0^b t^c$ with $\mathrm{L}$ on the left: matching mass gives $a + b = 0$; matching time gives $-2a + c = 0$; matching length gives $2a - 3b = 1$. The first and third give $a = 1/5$, $b = -1/5$, and the second then gives $c = 2/5$. The solution is unique, so (4.1) is the only possible form. ∎

Three consequences follow immediately and none needs the interior solution. The shock speed is $v_s = \mathrm{d}R/\mathrm{d}t = \tfrac25 R/t \propto t^{-3/5}$, so the blast decelerates; by Proposition 7 below, which uses nothing from this section, the post-shock temperature goes as $v_s^2 \propto t^{-6/5}$; and, because $R^5t^{-2} = \xi_0^5E/\rho_0$ is a constant of the motion, a single measurement of $R$ at a single $t$ determines $E$ once $\xi_0$ and $\rho_0$ are known. Taylor used exactly that, and Problem K3 shows what it hides.

What dimensional analysis cannot supply is $\xi_0$. That number contains all the dynamics, and getting it requires solving the interior flow.

Proposition 6 (the similarity solution and the constant $\xi_0$). Write $\lambda = r/R(t)$ and $$ v(r,t) = \frac{r}{t}\,u(\lambda), \qquad \rho(r,t) = \rho_0\,g(\lambda), \qquad p(r,t) = \rho_0\frac{r^2}{t^2}\,\Pi(\lambda). \tag{4.2}$$ Then the spherical Euler equations of Module 2 reduce to three ordinary differential equations in $\ln\lambda$, with boundary values at $\lambda = 1$ given by the strong-shock limit of Proposition 2, $$ u(1) = \frac{4}{5(\gamma+1)}, \qquad g(1) = \frac{\gamma+1}{\gamma-1}, \qquad \Pi(1) = \frac{8}{25(\gamma+1)}, \tag{4.3}$$ and the constant of (4.1) is fixed by the energy integral, $$ 1 \;=\; 4\pi\,\xi_0^5\,J, \qquad J \;=\; \int_0^1 \lambda^4\left[\tfrac12 g u^2 + \frac{\Pi}{\gamma-1}\right]\mathrm{d}\lambda. \tag{4.4}$$ Numerically $\xi_0 = 1.151666$ for $\gamma = 5/3$ and $\xi_0 = 1.032777$ for $\gamma = 7/5$.
Substitute (4.2) into continuity, Euler and the entropy equation, using $\partial\lambda/\partial t = -\tfrac25\lambda/t$ and $\partial\lambda/\partial r = \lambda/r$, which follow from $R \propto t^{2/5}$. Writing $'$ for $\mathrm{d}/\mathrm{d}\ln\lambda$ and $a \equiv u - \tfrac25$, every factor of $r$ and $t$ cancels and the three equations become $$ a\,\frac{g'}{g} + 3u + u' = 0, \qquad a\,u' + u^2 - u + \frac{\Pi}{g}\left(2 + \frac{\Pi'}{\Pi}\right) = 0, \qquad a\left(\frac{\Pi'}{\Pi} - \gamma\frac{g'}{g}\right) + 2(u-1) = 0. $$ That every factor cancels is the content of the similarity hypothesis, and it is a check on (4.2): had the substitution left an explicit $t$, no solution of this form would exist. Eliminating $g'/g$ and $\Pi'/\Pi$ from the middle equation gives $u'$ explicitly, $$ u'\left(a^2 - \gamma\frac{\Pi}{g}\right) \;=\; a\left(u - u^2\right) + \frac{\Pi}{g}\left(3\gamma u - \tfrac65\right), $$ and the system is integrated inward from $\lambda = 1$ with (4.3).

For (4.3): in the strong-shock limit Proposition 2 gives $\rho_2 = \rho_0(\gamma+1)/(\gamma-1)$, $v_2 = D(\gamma-1)/(\gamma+1)$ and $p_2 = 2\rho_0D^2/(\gamma+1)$, with $D = \mathrm{d}R/\mathrm{d}t = \tfrac25R/t$ supplied by (4.1) itself. Change frame before using $v_2$. Definition 1 measures $v_2$ in the rest frame of the surface, while $v(r,t)$ in (4.2) is a laboratory-frame velocity, in the frame where the unshocked gas ahead is at rest. The two differ by $D$: the shocked gas moves outward at $v_{2,\rm lab} = D - v_2 = D[1 - (\gamma-1)/(\gamma+1)] = 2D/(\gamma+1)$, which is $D/2$ at $\gamma = 5/3$ while $v_2$ itself is $D/4$. Evaluating (4.2) at $r = R$ and dividing gives $u(1) = v_{2,\rm lab}\,t/R = \tfrac25\cdot 2/(\gamma+1)$, $g(1) = \rho_2/\rho_0$ and $\Pi(1) = p_2/[\rho_0(R/t)^2] = 2(4/25)/(\gamma+1)$, which are (4.3). So §4 introduces no new physical input: the boundary condition of the blast wave is Proposition 2 plus similarity.

For (4.4): the total energy inside the shock is $$ E = \int_0^R\left[\tfrac12\rho v^2 + \frac{p}{\gamma-1}\right]4\pi r^2\,\mathrm{d}r = 4\pi\rho_0\frac{R^5}{t^2}\,J $$ after substituting (4.2) and $r = \lambda R$. But $R^5/t^2 = \xi_0^5E/\rho_0$ by (4.1), so $E$ cancels from both sides and what is left is $1 = 4\pi\xi_0^5J$. The energy integral does not determine the energy; it determines the constant. ∎

The integration is done in $\ln\lambda$ rather than $\lambda$ because $g \to 0$ and $\Pi \to \infty$ at the centre as pure powers of $\lambda$, so their logarithms are linear and the integration stays well conditioned. It is stopped at $\lambda = 9.1\times10^{-4}$ rather than at $\lambda = 0$, and nothing is lost: the integrand of (4.4) carries $\lambda^4$, so everything inside $\lambda = 10^{-3}$ contributes less than $10^{-15}$ of the total, and $\xi_0$ is unchanged in its eighth digit whether the integration stops at $6.7\times10^{-3}$ or at $3.4\times10^{-4}$. The reason a stopping point is needed at all is that the system has a fixed point at $u = (2/5)/\gamma$ towards which the physical solution is unstable going inward, so rounding error overwhelms it below about $\lambda = 10^{-4}$.

Two independent verifications are worth stating, because a constant obtained by numerical integration of an eliminated system is exactly the sort of number that can be wrong without looking wrong.

First, internal. The elimination that produced $u'$ used two of the three equations and discarded them. Differentiating the integrated solution numerically and substituting it back into the discarded continuity and entropy equations gives residuals no larger than $7\times10^{-9}$ anywhere between $\lambda = 0.1$ and $\lambda = 0.9$, for both values of $\gamma$. That tests the algebra, not merely the convergence of the integrator.

Second, external. Tang & Chevalier (2017) state that for $\gamma = 5/3$ the constant in $R = (\xi Et^2/\rho)^{1/5}$ equals $2.026$, citing Taylor (1946), Sedov (1959) and Book (1994); that is $\xi_0 = 2.026^{1/5} = 1.151670$ against $1.151666$ computed here, a ratio of $0.999997$. Kamm & Timmes (2007) define their spherical standard problem by $\rho_0 = 1\ \mathrm{g\,cm^{-3}}$, $\gamma = 1.4$ and $E = 0.851072\ \mathrm{erg}$, which puts the shock at $r = 1.0\ \mathrm{cm}$ at $t = 1.0\ \mathrm{s}$; that statement is the constant, $\xi_0 = 0.851072^{-1/5} = 1.032777$, and it agrees to all six figures.

A third comparison, and the one that matters for §5. Taylor obtained $K \equiv 1/\xi_0^5$ for $\gamma = 1.40$ in 1941 by hand integration and printed $K = 0.856$. The exact value is $0.851072$. His approximate quadratures were therefore good to 0.58 per cent — and because $E$ is linear in $K$, that error propagates to his energy as itself, which is small compared with everything else that will go wrong in §5.

The interior of the solution is as instructive as the constant. Nearly all the shocked mass sits in a thin shell just behind the front: for $\gamma = 5/3$ the mass median radius is $r/R = 0.9392$, the density at $r/R = 0.5$ has fallen to $1.53$ per cent of its post-shock value, and the pressure has flattened to a plateau at $0.306$ of the post-shock pressure and stays there all the way in. A hot, nearly empty, nearly uniform-pressure interior driving a thin dense shell — that is the picture, and §7 shows it becoming literally true as the snowplough phase arrives.

Inside the blast wave 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 r / R value / value just behind shock pressure p/p₂ (plateau) velocity v/v₂ density ρ/ρ₂ solid γ = 5/3, dashed γ = 7/5 Trinity: R ∝ t²ᐟ⁵ confirmed 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1 8 9 10 t / s (5/2) log₁₀(R / cm) slope 1 ⇔ R ∝ t²ᐟ⁵ intercept 11.916 (Taylor: 11.915) 25 rows, Taylor (1950) Table 1: 0.10–62 ms, 11.1–185 m The residual from that line: the model behind it refuted 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0 +0.02 +0.04 t / s residual in (5/2) log₁₀ R 0.10 ms: -0.303 off scale below band mean +0.0150 -0.0043 -0.0339 A: MDDC-221 small images B: Ministry of Supply strip C: MDDC-221 small images D: MDDC-221 large photographs Residuals are from the fixed-slope line through rows 2–25. The band means fall from +0.015 to -0.004 to -0.034; the step between the outer bands is 7.3 times their combined standard error. Bands coincide with photographic sources.
Upper left: the interior of the blast wave, from Proposition 6. Density is crushed into a thin shell behind the front, velocity falls almost linearly to the centre, and pressure flattens to a plateau at about $0.31$ of its post-shock value. Upper right: Taylor's twenty-five Trinity rows as $\tfrac52\log_{10}R$ against $\log_{10}t$, where Proposition 5 predicts slope $1$; every point sits within a point-width of the line, and this is the whole of §5.1. Lower: the residual of each of those same points from that same line, by photographic source. The confirmation and the refutation are one set of twenty-five numbers plotted twice, and only the second plot shows the structure.

5. The anchor: Trinity, 16 July 1945

Every module in this book is checked against a published measurement, and the checks have been of uneven quality. Module 3's solar comparison was partly circular, because the model it tested had gone into the model that produced the "measurement". Module 7's laboratory check carried a standard deviation but its astronomical half carried none. This module's anchor has neither defect, and it is worth saying why before any number appears.

Taylor's Table 1 is twenty-five radii read off photographic film with a length scale in the frame, against twenty-five shutter times read off the same film. Nothing about the blast-wave solution went into producing those numbers. No one solved (4.1) to obtain them and no fitted model stands between the film and the table. So the table can test the theory, which is precisely what Module 3's solar model could not do. The prediction, moreover, was published in 1941 — four years before the explosion, nine years before Taylor saw the film — so there was no opportunity to tune it.

The weaknesses are worth stating with equal directness. The radii are read by eye from 1945 photographs and carry no quoted uncertainty. The times come from the camera. Taylor labels every row with the source of its photograph, his "authority" column, in four groups — A, rows 1–14, a strip of small images from MDDC-221; B, rows 15–20, declassified photographs lent by the Ministry of Supply; C, rows 21–23, a second strip of small images from MDDC-221; D, rows 24–25, large single photographs from MDDC-221 — and the source turns out to matter. And the reader is asked to believe a table transcribed from a 1950 letterpress page; §5.1 closes that gap with a check of the data file against the paper's own logarithm columns.

5.1 Check 1: the exponent — CONFIRMED

Fit $\log_{10}R$ against $\log_{10}t$ by least squares and compare the slope with the $2/5$ that Proposition 5 forces. Deciding which rows belong in the fit is a judgement, so all three defensible choices are reported.

rows used$t$ rangefitted exponentratio to $2/5$departure
all 250.10–62.00 ms$0.4058 \pm 0.0076$$1.0146$$+0.8\,\sigma$
24, from 0.24 ms (Taylor's own range)0.24–62.00 ms$0.3904 \pm 0.0024$$0.9759$$-3.9\,\sigma$
19, rows 2–200.24–4.61 ms$0.3989 \pm 0.0049$$0.9972$$-0.2\,\sigma$
Check 1, CONFIRMED. Every fitting choice returns an exponent within 2.4 per cent of $2/5$, over twenty-five rows spanning a factor $620$ in time and $17$ in radius. The exponent was fixed by dimensional analysis alone, with no property of air in it, and published four years before the explosion.

Read the last column as a warning, not as a result. The three fitting choices do not agree with one another inside their formal errors: $+0.8\sigma$, $-3.9\sigma$ and $-0.2\sigma$ cannot all be describing the same quantity with correctly estimated uncertainties. Those errors assume the scatter about the line is independent noise. §5.2 shows that it is not, and that is a finding about the model rather than a defect of the fit.

The ratio $0.9759$ is $2.408$ per cent from unity, and is quoted above as "within 2.4 per cent". That is the largest departure of the three, and it must not be restated to a third digit anywhere, because the fit's own third digit is not stable against the choice of rows.

The data file is checked against the paper, not against a transcription of it. Taylor prints $\log_{10}t$, $\log_{10}R$ and $\tfrac52\log_{10}R$ beside his $t$ and $R$ columns, and all twenty-five $R$ values in afd/data/taylor1950_trinity.dat reproduce his $\log_{10}R$ column to its last printed digit with $R$ in centimetres. Two times were ambiguous in the scan and were recovered from his own logarithm column: row 8, where the digits read "1·08" and his $\log_{10}t = \overline{3}.033$ confirms $1.079$ ms; and row 12, where the digits read "1·05", which is wrong and also not monotonic with its neighbours, and his $\log_{10}t = \overline{3}.217$ gives $1.648$ ms. A further check is arithmetic: the mean of $\tfrac52\log_{10}R - \log_{10}t$ over his 24 rows is $11.9159$ against the $11.915$ of his own equation (1), which reproduces his printed intercept to four decimal places. That is a check of the data file, not of the physics.

5.2 Check 2: the model behind the exponent — REFUTED

Plot the residual of each row from the fixed-slope line — that is, the quantity $\tfrac52\log_{10}R - \log_{10}t$, which Proposition 5 says should be the same number for every row — and the scatter is not random. Group the rows in four blocks in time. The three later blocks are chosen to follow Taylor's authority column, with one departure that must be stated because it matters below: the first row is separated from the rest of authority A, because it is the row the model is expected to fail at, and authorities C and D are pooled into one block of five, because D has only two rows:

rows$t$ rangemean residualscatter within the block
row 1 alone0.10 ms$-0.3026$—
2–140.24–1.93 ms$+0.0150$$0.0196$
15–203.26–4.61 ms$-0.0043$$0.0048$
21–2515–62 ms$-0.0339$$0.0074$

The three later block means fall monotonically. The step from the second block to the fourth is $0.0490$ in $\tfrac52\log_{10}R$, which is a factor $1.046$ in $R$ at fixed $t$ — 4.6 per cent. The standard errors of those two block means are $0.0056$ and $0.0037$, so the step is 7.3 times their combined error. A structured residual is a failed model, not a noisy measurement.

One honest confound, and it is stated before the conclusion because it limits the conclusion. The block boundaries coincide with changes of photographic source, so the 7.3σ step between block 2 and block 4 could in principle be an instrumental offset rather than a change of physics, and this table cannot separate the two. Taylor quotes no uncertainty on any radius, so there is no measurement error to compare an instrumental offset against. The physical mechanism offered below — the neglected ambient pressure doing work on the flow after about 5 ms — predicts the observed sign and this module computes no size for it, so it cannot discriminate either. What does not depend on the source boundaries is the structure inside authority A: rows 2–14 scatter about $+0.0150$ while row 1, from the same strip of film, sits $0.32$ below them, sixteen times their internal scatter. Rows 21–23, all authority C, also fall steadily, $-0.0237 \to -0.0290 \to -0.0440$, though three points in order is weak evidence taken alone. The refutation below rests on those two, on the whole monotone ordering, and on the Mach-number decline computed in the next list — not on the block step by itself.

Check 2, REFUTED. The point-explosion, uniform-atmosphere, ideal-gas-with-$\gamma = 1.4$ model that produced the exponent $2/5$ does not describe the data it fits. The residuals run monotonically through $+0.0150 \to -0.0043 \to -0.0339$, and the first row sits $0.32$ below the mean of rows 2–14, sixteen times the internal scatter of that block. The $7.3\,\sigma$ step between the outer blocks is the largest single piece of that evidence and it is also the piece a change of instrument could imitate; the refutation does not rest on it alone.

What fails, and when, can be read off the same table, and each item below is a hypothesis of Definition 1 or Proposition 5 breaking in a specific way.

All of this is one figure. Fig. 3 shows the twenty-five points on the slope-1 line in its upper right panel, where the confirmation of §5.1 is visible and the structure of this section is not — every point sits within a point-width of the line. The lower panel of the same figure plots the residual, by photographic source, with the block means drawn, and the refutation is there and nowhere else. The confirmation and the refutation are the same twenty-five numbers, plotted twice. That is the lesson Module 2 learned about residual plots, applied here to a case where it decides the verdict.

5.3 Check 3: the energy — REFUTED at 3.8σ

Because $R^5t^{-2}$ is a constant of the motion, the fit determines it, and $E = K\rho_0R^5t^{-2}$ with $K = 1/\xi_0^5$ from Proposition 6 turns it into an energy. The fixed-slope fit over Taylor's own 24 rows gives $R^5t^{-2} = 6.7902\times10^{23}\ \mathrm{cm^5\,s^{-2}}$, and with the exact $K = 0.851072$ for $\gamma = 1.40$ and his $\rho_0$,

$$ E \;=\; 7.2237\times10^{20}\ \mathrm{erg} \;=\; 17.27\ \mathrm{kt}, \qquad 1\ \mathrm{kt} \equiv 4.184\times10^{19}\ \mathrm{erg}. $$

Four numbers must be laid beside it, and the arithmetic that relates them is not optional.

valuesourcein modern kt
$7.14\times10^{20}$ erg, "16,800 tons"Taylor (1950), his Table 3, $\gamma = 1.40$$17.07$
$7.2237\times10^{20}$ ergthis book, same data, exact $K$$17.27$
21 ktDepartment of Energy released value$21.0$
$24.8 \pm 2$ ktSelby et al. (2021), radiochemistry of trinitite$24.8 \pm 2.0$
Check 3, REFUTED. What is refuted is the identification of the energy the blast wave carries with the yield of the device. The blast-wave energy is $0.822$ of the DOE value and $0.696$ of Selby's, which is 3.8 standard deviations low on Selby's $\sigma$. The hydrodynamics is not wrong; the blast wave sees only the energy that was in the gas when the similarity solution took hold, and misses roughly 30 per cent of the yield — radiation that escaped the fireball, plus energy still locked in dissociation and ionisation. The $3.8$ is one-sided. Selby's $\pm 2$ kt is the only quoted uncertainty in the comparison; the $17.27$ kt on this side carries none, and Problem K3 shows the same twenty-four rows returning energies from $14.33$ to $19.50$ kt depending on which pair is used, a spread of 36 per cent that is systematic and is not in the $3.8$.

Taylor's "16,800 tons" is not 16.8 kt, and the difference is not a rounding. He took one gram of T.N.T. as liberating 1000 calories, $4.18\times10^{10}$ erg, on the long ton, giving $1\ \mathrm{ton} = 4.25\times10^{16}$ erg. The modern kiloton is $4.184\times10^{19}$ erg, so his ton is $1.0158$ modern tons and his 16,800 tons is $17.07$ modern kt. Quoting "16.8 kt" from his paper, as is often done, is an error of 1.6 per cent introduced by the reader rather than by Taylor.

An inconsistency inside the source, reproduced here because it propagates. Taylor's equation (1) gives the intercept $\tfrac52\log_{10}R - \log_{10}t = 11.915$, which implies $R^5t^{-2} = 10^{2\times11.915} = 6.7608\times10^{23}$. His equation (3), two paragraphs later, prints $6.67\times10^{23}$. The two differ by 1.36 per cent, and it is his equation (3) that feeds his energy. Both numbers were read from the page.

The direction of the remaining error is known, and it widens the gap. The Trinity site is a desert well above sea level, so its air was less dense than the $1.25\times10^{-3}\ \mathrm{g\,cm^{-3}}$ Taylor assumed. $E$ is linear in $\rho_0$, so a more honest $\rho_0$ makes the recovered energy smaller and the shortfall larger. No elevation is quoted here, because none was read from a source. The statement is about a sign, and a sign needs no number.

The $\pm 2$ kt attached to Selby's 24.8 kt is theirs, from a Bayesian treatment folding thirteen trinitite samples with radiochemical and physics simulation tools; it is not a pure measurement uncertainty. The DOE's 21 kt carries no published uncertainty at all. Selby write that their result "overlaps with the previous DOE value of $21 \pm 2$ kt, where we assigned a conservative 10% relative uncertainty on its value", and that the source of the DOE figure "is not cited in the official DOE publications". The $3.8\,\sigma$ above therefore uses Selby's $\sigma$ and not the DOE's, because the DOE has none.

6. The astrophysical check: Voyager 2 inside a shock

Every shock in this book so far has been inferred from a distance. In 2007 a spacecraft flew through one and measured it from the inside. Voyager 2's plasma experiment recorded a decrease in solar-wind speed from about 9 June 2007, culminating in several crossings of the solar-wind termination shock at a heliocentric radius of 84 AU between 30 August and 1 September 2007.

The paper reporting it supplies something rarer than the crossing itself: a control. The same instrument on the same spacecraft crossed Neptune's inbound bow shock in August 1989, eighteen years earlier, at 30 AU. So the comparison below is not merely theory against observation; it is one shock against another, through one instrument, with the theory saying what should differ and what should not.

6.1 CONFIRMED: the ceiling, and a consistency test with no free parameter

From the figure caption comparing the two crossings, read directly: at Neptune's bow shock the solar-wind speed fell by a factor of four and the density increased by a factor of four, while the temperature increased by a factor of 100.

Fig. 4 draws all five comparisons of this section on one logarithmic axis, as measured divided by predicted, so that a confirmation and a refutation are the same kind of mark in the same place.

The factor of four in density is the ceiling (3.3) for $\gamma = 5/3$, and $\gamma = 5/3$ is not fitted — it is fixed by the gas being monatomic. Ratio of measured to predicted: $1.0$. That the density jump and the speed drop are the same number is mass conservation, (2.2), holding to the precision of the read — provided the bow shock is standing in the frame the speeds were measured in, which a planetary bow shock does to that precision, because (2.2) is a statement in the rest frame of the surface and the speeds are measured in the spacecraft's.

The temperature supplies a second, independent test of the same shock. A temperature ratio of 100 implies, by inverting (3.2) at $\gamma = 5/3$, an upstream Mach number $M_1 = 17.8$. That Mach number then predicts a density ratio of $3.96$ through the first of (3.1), against the measured 4. Consistency ratio $0.99$. One Mach number, two independent Rankine–Hugoniot relations, one answer: that is the shape of a real test, and it is what Proposition 2 is for.

Check 4, CONFIRMED. At Neptune's bow shock the measured density jump is the compression ceiling $(\gamma+1)/(\gamma-1) = 4$ for a monatomic gas, with $\gamma$ fixed by the gas and not fitted; the measured speed drop is the same factor, as (2.2) requires; and the measured temperature jump, run back through (3.2) to a Mach number and forward again through (3.1), returns the density jump to $0.99$. Every input is read to one significant figure from a figure caption that quotes no uncertainty, so these ratios are claimed to two figures and no further.
The caption gives no uncertainty on any of the three factors, and the Neptune curves are normalised before comparison — speed divided by 1.3, density by five, temperature by two — so that the two shocks can be overlaid. The numbers are therefore read to one or two significant figures, and nothing finer is claimed from them. This is the same weakness Module 7's solar anchor had, declared here for the same reason.

6.2 REFUTED: the closure, not the conservation laws

At the termination shock the same instrument found the temperature increasing by a factor of only ten and the density by only two. The authors state the consequence plainly: if all the flow energy were transferred to the thermal ions, as happens at planetary bow shocks, the heliosheath temperature would be $10^6$ K, whereas the observed temperature is $10^5$ K.

That $10^6$ K is not taken on trust; Proposition 7 reproduces it. The same paper reports the solar wind decelerating "from 400 to 300 km s$^{-1}$ in three steps" ahead of the crossing. Putting $v_s = 300\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$ and $\mu = 0.5$, for a fully ionised hydrogen plasma, into (7.1) at $\gamma = 5/3$ gives $T_2 = 1.01\times10^{6}$ K, which is their figure to within 2 per cent. So Check 5 below is this book's prediction against their measurement and not their prediction against their measurement.

One frame caveat, stated because it is of the size of the effect. The $300\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$ is measured in the spacecraft frame, while (7.1) needs the upstream speed in the frame of the shock, and their Table 1 gives the shock moving outward at $94.0 \pm 3.4\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$. Using $300 - 94 = 206\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$ instead gives $T_2 = 4.8\times10^{5}$ K. The agreement with their $10^6$ K is therefore an agreement with their choice of frame, and this module does not claim the shock-frame value is what they used. The refutation survives either choice: the observed $10^5$ K is short by a factor 10 against the first and a factor 4.8 against the second.
Check 5, REFUTED. Observed over predicted, $10^5/10^6 = \mathbf{0.10}$: a factor of ten short. What fails is the closure — one fluid, one temperature — and not the conservation laws of Proposition 1.

The authors' explanation is what makes this a refutation of a specific hypothesis rather than a puzzle. The energy per proton falls by 80 per cent across the shock, and it goes to pickup ions — hot protons created when neutral interstellar atoms are ionised inside the heliosphere — rather than to the thermal plasma. A single-fluid ideal gas has nowhere to put that energy, so it predicts a hot thermal population that is not there. And Module 1 has already said why this is possible: the solar wind at 84 AU is collisionless, so no mechanism forces one temperature on all the ion populations. The failure was licensed by Module 1 and is observed here.

Voyager 2: measured ÷ Rankine–Hugoniot prediction 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 ratio, logarithmic Neptune bow shock density jump / 4 1.00 Neptune bow shock speed drop / 4 1.00 Neptune bow shock ρ₂/ρ₁ from T-jump Mach 17.8 / 4 0.99 termination shock T observed / T predicted 0.10 termination shock TS-2 ρ₂/ρ₁ / gas-dynamic 3.56 0.67 CONFIRMED REFUTED not used: partly circular Richardson et al. (2008), Nature 454, 63–66. Neptune values read from their Figure 5 caption, which gives no uncertainty; T values from p. 65. Grey row: compression ratio and Mach number come from one Rankine–Hugoniot fit (their Table 1), so it tests the fit.
Every comparison of §6 as measured divided by predicted, on one logarithmic axis, so that a confirmation and a refutation are the same kind of mark in the same place. The three Neptune rows sit at $1$; the termination-shock temperature sits at $0.10$, a factor of ten short. The grey fifth row is the compression ratio of §6.3, drawn only to show where it would fall and not used, because its compression ratio and its Mach number come from one Rankine–Hugoniot fit to one data window.

6.3 The comparison this module refuses to make

The same paper's Table 1 gives, for the second crossing, a compression ratio of $2.38 \pm 0.14$ against an upstream fast-mode Mach number of $4.9 \pm 0.1$. The gas-dynamic prediction of (3.1) at $M_1 = 4.9$ and $\gamma = 5/3$ is $3.556$, so the measurement is $0.669$ of it — a departure of 8.4 formal standard deviations, which would be by far the largest refutation in this book. It is not used, for two reasons.

First, it is partly circular. The table's caption states that the shock orientation is found as "the direction that minimizes the differences of the Rankine–Hugoniot conditions across the shock", and that the shock speed, the field angle and the Mach numbers are then calculated from that orientation. The compression ratio and the Mach number therefore come from one Rankine–Hugoniot fit to one data window, so comparing them against the Rankine–Hugoniot prediction tests the fit against itself. This is Module 3's circularity in a new costume, and it is refused for the same reason.

Second, it is the wrong formula. The same table gives the angle between the shock normal and the magnetic field as $82.8^\circ \pm 3.9^\circ$: this is a quasi-perpendicular magnetohydrodynamic shock, and (3.1) is a gas-dynamic result. The right formula is the oblique magnetohydrodynamic jump condition, which this book does not derive anywhere. Module 12 builds magnetohydrodynamics — flux freezing, magnetic pressure and tension, Alfvén waves, the magnetorotational instability — and stops short of shock jump conditions. Saying so is better than promising a repayment that no planned module makes.

The temperature comparison of §6.2 has neither defect. The observed $10^5$ K and the predicted $10^6$ K are separate statements: the first is a measurement, the second is what full thermalisation of the measured flow energy would give, and no fit connects them.

7. A supernova remnant through its phases

The Sedov solution is exact for a point explosion in a pressureless uniform gas, and a supernova remnant is neither at the start nor at the end of its life. This section puts brackets around the interval in which (4.1) is the right description, and the brackets are as much a result as the solution is.

Take the standard numbers: $E = 10^{51}$ erg, ambient hydrogen density $n_{\rm H} = 1\ \mathrm{cm^{-3}}$, so $\rho_0 = 1.4\,m_u n_{\rm H} = 2.325\times10^{-24}\ \mathrm{g\,cm^{-3}}$ with helium at cosmic abundance, $\mu = 0.61$ for the fully ionised gas behind the shock, and $\gamma = 5/3$.

Proposition 7 (the post-shock temperature of a strong shock). In the limit $M_1 \gg 1$, $$ T_2 \;=\; \frac{2(\gamma-1)}{(\gamma+1)^2}\,\frac{\mu m_u v_s^2}{k_B}, \tag{7.1}$$ which for $\gamma = 5/3$ is $T_2 = 3\mu m_u v_s^2/(16 k_B)$.
In the strong-shock limit Proposition 2 gives $p_2 = 2\rho_1v_s^2/(\gamma+1)$ and $\rho_2 = \rho_1(\gamma+1)/(\gamma-1)$. The ideal gas law in the form $T = \mu m_u p/(k_B\rho)$ then gives $$ T_2 = \frac{\mu m_u}{k_B}\frac{p_2}{\rho_2} = \frac{\mu m_u}{k_B}\cdot\frac{2\rho_1v_s^2}{\gamma+1}\cdot\frac{\gamma-1}{\rho_1(\gamma+1)}, $$ which is (7.1). At $\gamma = 5/3$ the prefactor is $2(2/3)/(64/9) = 3/16$. ∎
$\mu$ must be stated with every answer from (7.1), and the book's convention from Module 6 — $\mu$ measured against $m_u$ — is used here. The three standard choices differ by a factor 2.0 in $T_2$: at $v_s = 5000\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$, $\mu = 0.61$ (ionised cosmic abundance) gives $3.439\times10^8$ K, $\mu = 1.00$ (neutral atomic hydrogen) gives $5.638\times10^8$ K and $\mu = 0.50$ (fully ionised pure hydrogen) gives $2.819\times10^8$ K. Problem C1 is that factor.

With $\xi_0 = 1.15167$ from Proposition 6, (4.1) and (7.1) give the remnant's whole adiabatic history:

age (yr)$R$ (pc)$v_s$ (km s⁻¹)$T_2$ (K)swept mass ($M_\odot$)
1001.9887774$8.31\times10^{8}$1.1
3003.0854021$2.22\times10^{8}$4.2
1 0004.9931953$5.25\times10^{7}$17.9
3 0007.7481010$1.40\times10^{7}$66.9
10 00012.541490.5$3.31\times10^{6}$283.8
30 00019.462253.7$8.86\times10^{5}$1 061
100 00031.502123.2$2.09\times10^{5}$4 498

$R \propto t^{2/5}$, $v_s \propto t^{-3/5}$ and $T_2 \propto v_s^2 \propto t^{-6/5}$: the third follows from the second by (7.1) and needs no new input.

Proposition 8 (when the Sedov phase begins, and when it ends).
Begins when the swept ambient mass matches the ejecta mass, because only then does the ejecta's own inertia stop mattering and the flow forget everything but $E$ and $\rho_0$. For $M_{\rm ej} = 5\,M_\odot$ and the numbers above, $\tfrac43\pi R^3\rho_0 = M_{\rm ej}$ gives $R = 3.26$ pc, reached at $t = 345$ yr.
Ends when the cooling time of the post-shock gas falls to the age of the remnant, because the energy the similarity solution conserves is then leaving the system. With the cooling function stated below, $t_{\rm cool}(T_2) = t$ gives $$ t_{\rm rad} = 4.085\times10^{4}\ \mathrm{yr}, \quad R_{\rm rad} = 22.02\ \mathrm{pc}, \quad T_2 = 6.11\times10^{5}\ \mathrm{K}, \quad v_s = 211\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}, $$ by which time 1 536 $M_\odot$ has been swept up.
For the start: the ejecta-dominated and ambient-dominated regimes are separated by the mass they carry, and the swept mass $\tfrac43\pi R^3\rho_0$ is monotonic in $R$, so the condition defines a unique radius; inverting (4.1) for $t$ at that radius gives the time. For the end: $T_2 \propto t^{-6/5}$ falls, so the cooling time $t_{\rm cool} \propto T/(n\Lambda(T))$ falls too on the branch used here, while the age rises; the two therefore cross exactly once, and the crossing is found by bisection on $\log_{10}t$.

The cooling function is stated, not fitted, in two branches per unit $n_en_{\rm H}$: $$ \Lambda(T) \;=\; \begin{cases} 2.1\times10^{-27}\sqrt{T} & T \gt 10^7\ \mathrm{K} \quad\text{(thermal bremsstrahlung)}\\[2pt] \Lambda_7\,(T/10^7)^{-0.7} & 10^4 \lt T \le 10^7\ \mathrm{K} \quad\text{(collisionally excited lines)}\end{cases} \tag{7.2}$$ with $\Lambda_7 = 2.1\times10^{-27}\sqrt{10^7}$ so that the branches join continuously, and $$ t_{\rm cool} \;=\; \frac{\tfrac32 n_{\rm tot}k_BT}{n_en_{\rm H}\Lambda(T)}, \qquad n_{\rm tot} = \frac{\rho}{\mu m_u}, \quad n_e = 1.2\,n_{\rm H}. \tag{7.3}$$ ∎

The second branch of (7.2) is not a refinement. Using bremsstrahlung alone at all temperatures moves $t_{\rm rad}$ to $3.32\times10^5$ yr — a factor 8 later. Line cooling is the dominant term everywhere below $10^7$ K, and the remnant spends almost its entire life below $10^7$ K. A calculation that omits it does not get the answer slightly wrong; it gets the phase structure of the remnant wrong.

7.1 What the transition criterion is worth

A one-line criterion is not a simulation, and the honest thing is to say by how much it misses. Cioffi, McKee & Bertschinger (1988) computed the radiative transition with a hydrodynamic code and fitted the result. Their equations (3.33a) and (3.33b) give, for solar abundances and $E_{51} = n_0 = 1$,

$$ R_{\rm PDS} = 14.0\ \mathrm{pc}, \qquad v_{\rm PDS} = 413\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}, \qquad t_{\rm PDS} = \tfrac25 R_{\rm PDS}/v_{\rm PDS} = 1.326\times10^{4}\ \mathrm{yr}. $$ $t_{\rm PDS}$ above is derived from their two fitted quantities using $R = \tfrac25v_st$, which holds at the end of the Sedov stage. It can be checked against the same paper by a second route: their equation (3.10) gives a shell-formation time $t_{\rm sf} = 3.61\times10^4$ yr for these parameters, and their equation (3.11) sets $t_{\rm PDS} = t_{\rm sf}/e$, which is $1.328\times10^4$ yr. The two routes agree to 0.15 per cent.

Comparing:

Check 6, a calibration and not a confirmation. $R_{\rm rad}/R_{\rm PDS} = 1.573$ and $t_{\rm rad}/t_{\rm PDS} = 3.081$. A one-line criterion applied to a stated cooling function gives a radius 1.57 times and a time 3.08 times those of a full radiative-hydrodynamic simulation. The time is less accurate than the radius, and the reason is (4.1): because $R \propto t^{2/5}$, a factor 3.08 in $t$ is only a factor 1.57 in $R$. That is what should be claimed for the criterion, and no more.
The two calculations do not use the same cooling function. Cioffi et al. use $\Lambda = 1.6\times10^{-19}\,\zeta_m T^{-1/2}$ for $10^5 \lt T \lt 10^{7.5}$ K; this section uses the $T^{-0.7}$ branch of (7.2). So the ratios 1.573 and 3.081 test the criterion and the cooling curve together, and neither can be blamed separately on this evidence.

After $t_{\rm rad}$ the shell is thin, dense and driven by the pressure of the hot interior — the interior that Proposition 6 showed is nearly empty and nearly uniform in pressure. Then $R \propto t^{0.30}$ rather than $t^{0.40}$, and the similarity solution of §4 no longer applies. That phase is not derived in this book.

8. The debt from Module 7: Rayleigh–Taylor at Tycho

Module 7 closed by recording a gap: its Rayleigh–Taylor half was checked against a laser experiment and against nothing in the sky, and no module from 1 to 10 was going to repay it. This section repays it, using the structure that §7 has just built, and the answer is a refutation.

A young supernova remnant is not one shock but three surfaces. The ejecta drive a forward shock (the blast wave) into the interstellar medium. The ambient gas pushes back on the ejecta through a reverse shock running into them. Between the two lies the contact discontinuity, separating shocked ejecta from shocked ambient gas. Shocked ejecta are the heavier fluid and sit inside; shocked ambient gas is lighter and sits outside; and the shell decelerates. In the frame of the decelerating interface that is exactly Module 7's unstable ordering, and the contact discontinuity grows Rayleigh–Taylor fingers.

forward shock (blast wave), RBW contact discontinuity reverse shock shocked ambient gas (light) shocked ejecta (heavy) freely expanding ejecta geff = m(1−m)R/t², outward heavy inside, light outside, shell decelerating: Module 7's unstable ordering, so the interface grows fingers
The double-shocked shell of a young remnant, drawn as a quarter section. The mushrooms on the contact discontinuity are Rayleigh–Taylor fingers of ejecta reaching towards the blast wave. The quantity this section tests is their length — how far beyond the smooth one-dimensional contact discontinuity they reach — and not the position of any one surface.

8.1 The comparison needs no distance and no age

Module 7 measured a mixing law, $h = \alpha A g t^2$, for a plane interface under a constant acceleration, and derived $g = m(1-m)R/t^2$ for a shell whose radius follows $R \propto t^m$. Putting the second into the first is the whole of this section's theory.

What Proposition 9 produces is a bound rather than a value, and that is what makes §8 a test and not a fit: if the observed width exceeds the bound, no choice of the two free quantities can rescue the prediction.

Proposition 9 (the mixing width of a decelerating shell). For a shell with $R \propto t^m$ whose interface carries Atwood number $A$ and mixing coefficient $\alpha$, $$ h \;=\; \alpha A\, m(1-m)\, R_{\rm cd}, \qquad\text{so}\qquad \frac{h}{R_{\rm BW}} \;=\; \alpha\,A\,m(1-m)\,\frac{R_{\rm cd}}{R_{\rm BW}}. \tag{8.1}$$ Both $t$ and $R$ cancel. Moreover $A \le 1$ by its definition and $m(1-m) \le \tfrac14$ with equality at $m = \tfrac12$, so $$ \frac{h}{R_{\rm BW}} \;\le\; \frac{\alpha}{4}\,\frac{R_{\rm cd}}{R_{\rm BW}} \tag{8.2}$$ for every shell, whatever its Atwood number and whatever its expansion index.
Substitute $g = m(1-m)R_{\rm cd}/t^2$ into $h = \alpha Agt^2$; the $t^2$ cancels identically, leaving $h = \alpha A m(1-m)R_{\rm cd}$, and dividing by $R_{\rm BW}$ gives (8.1). For (8.2): $A = (\rho_2-\rho_1)/(\rho_1+\rho_2) \le 1$ because both densities are positive, and $m(1-m)$ is a downward parabola in $m$ with maximum $\tfrac14$ at $m = \tfrac12$. ∎

Two consequences are worth stating before any number is put in. No distance and no age are needed: (8.1) is a ratio of radii, so the disagreement among published distances to Tycho — which is real — cannot affect it, and neither can the epoch at which the remnant is observed. And (8.2) turns the comparison into a test rather than a fit: if the observed width exceeds $\alpha/4$ times the radius ratio, no choice of $A$ or $m$ can rescue the prediction.

The inputs, each read from the paper that supplies it:

8.2 The result: short by a factor of eleven

Putting those into (8.1):

$$ \frac{h}{R_{\rm BW}} \;=\; 0.038 \times 1 \times 0.2496 \times 0.77 \;=\; 0.0073, \qquad\text{0.73 per cent of the blast-wave radius,} $$

with the $\pm0.008$ on $\alpha_B$ alone spanning $0.58$ to $0.88$ per cent, and the ceiling (8.2) at $0.73$ per cent for $\alpha_B$ and $0.89$ per cent one standard deviation above it.

Against that, four rungs, every one from a paper read in full:

$R/R_{\rm BW}$what it issource
0.77one-dimensional contact discontinuity, pure hydrodynamicsWarren et al. (2005), their Sect. 7, who state it; the number is not printed in Wang & Chevalier's text, so it is their reading of that paper's results
0.85two-dimensional Rayleigh–Taylor finger tips, pure hydrodynamicsWang & Chevalier (2001), their own text at $t' = 1.6$; the same paper puts Tycho at $t' = 1.7$, and the finger extent is not restated there
0.93Tycho's mean contact discontinuity, deprojectedWarren et al. (2005), abstract
1.00Tycho's ejecta clumps, at several azimuthsWarren et al. (2005), their Sect. 3

Compare a width with a width, never with a position. Every observed width below is measured outward from the same place, the one-dimensional contact discontinuity at $0.77$:

observed widthvaluepredicted ÷ observed
to the simulated finger tips$0.08\,R_{\rm BW}$$0.091$
to Tycho's mean contact discontinuity$0.16\,R_{\rm BW}$$0.046$
to Tycho's farthest clumps$0.23\,R_{\rm BW}$$0.032$
Check 7, REFUTED as a transfer. Against the most conservative of the three observed widths — a pure-hydrodynamic simulation, carrying no observational or cosmic-ray argument at all — the plane-interface mixing law is short by a factor 11. Three things would soften that factor and none of them closes the gap. $\alpha_B$ is the bubble coefficient while the observed quantity is a spike penetration, and at $A \to 1$ spikes outrun bubbles by an amount no paper this book holds quantifies, so $0.0073$ is a lower bound on the prediction and 11 an upper bound on the discrepancy. The baseline $0.77$ is a reading of a published figure with no stated uncertainty, and moving it by $\pm0.02$ moves the simulated width from $0.08$ to $0.06$–$0.10$ and the factor from 11 to 8–14. And (8.1) is a scaling good to a factor of a few, not a theorem applied. The refutation is that the shortfall survives all three: it is a factor of at least about three against the simulation, and larger against both observations.

And nothing inside the law can close the gap. To reach even the simulated $0.08\,R_{\rm BW}$, (8.1) would need $\alpha = 0.416$: eleven times the measured $0.038 \pm 0.008$, and 8.3 times the largest theoretical value Module 7 found anywhere, $\sim 0.05$ for three-dimensional immiscible fluids. $A$ cannot help, because it is already at its ceiling of 1. $m$ cannot help, because $m(1-m)$ is already within 1 per cent of its ceiling of $\tfrac14$.

Fig. 6 draws the predicted width and the three observed ones on one radial axis, at one scale, every bar starting from the same radius. The prediction is the hairline.

Rayleigh–Taylor at Tycho: one predicted width against three observed ones 0.77 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 radius ÷ blast-wave radius blast wave 1-D contact discontinuity predicted by Module 7's mixing law h = αB A m(1−m) R, A = 1 0.73% of R (≤0.88% at αB+1σ) 2-D simulation, pure hydro Wang & Chevalier (2001) 8% Tycho, mean CD, deprojected Warren et al. (2005) 16% Tycho, farthest ejecta clumps Warren et al. (2005), sect. 3 23% Predicted ÷ simulated = 0.091. αB = 0.038 ± 0.008 is the BUBBLE coefficient; the observed quantity is a spike penetration, so the prediction is a lower bound. A ≤ 1 and m(1−m) ≤ ¼ are hard bounds, so no choice of Atwood number or expansion index closes the gap. Warren et al. read the 0.93 as evidence of cosmic-ray compression at the blast wave, not of mixing at the contact discontinuity.
One predicted Rayleigh–Taylor mixing width against three observed ones, on a single radial axis in units of the blast-wave radius, every bar starting from the same place — the one-dimensional contact discontinuity at $0.77$. The prediction of (8.1) with $A$ at its ceiling is the hairline at $0.73$ per cent of $R_{ m BW}$. The shortest observed width, from a pure-hydrodynamic simulation and carrying no observational or cosmic-ray argument, is eleven times longer.

8.3 What is refuted, and what is not

Refuted: the transfer of a plane-interface, constant-acceleration, two-uniform-fluid, forgotten-seed mixing law to a decelerating supernova shell. Not refuted: the law itself, which Module 7 checked in the regime in which it was measured and which is not under test here.

Three reasons the transfer fails, in order of size, and the module claims no more precision for them than it has:

  1. $\alpha_B$ is the bubble coefficient. The observed quantity is a spike penetration — ejecta reaching outward into lighter gas — and at Atwood number near 1 spikes outrun bubbles, because a dense spike falling through a light fluid feels little drag while a light bubble rising through a dense one feels a great deal. The direction is certain. No number for $\alpha_{\rm spike}$ is printed anywhere in this module, because no paper this book holds gives one. That makes the $0.0073$ a lower bound on the prediction and the factor 11 an upper bound on the discrepancy.
  2. The seed is not forgotten. The mixing law assumes the initial conditions are lost after about three merger generations — Module 7 quotes the assumption in the experimenters' own words. At a remnant's contact discontinuity the reverse shock feeds the interface continuously, and Wang & Chevalier find that reproducing Tycho's observed protrusions at all requires ejecta clumps with a density contrast of at least 100 over their surroundings. A structure that needs a seed of contrast 100 is not a structure that has forgotten its seed.
  3. $g$ is not constant. $g = m(1-m)R/t^2$ falls as $t^{m-2}$, and $\iint g\,\mathrm{d}t\,\mathrm{d}t$ taken from $t = 0$ does not converge, so the coefficient in (8.1) depends on when the deceleration began. (8.1) is therefore a scaling, good to a factor of a few, and not a theorem applied. It is quoted that way here, which is why a factor 11 counts as a refutation and a factor 2 would not have.
One caveat that pushes the same way, and must be read before the 0.93 is used for anything. Warren et al. conclude that the measured ratio $0.93$ is "inconsistent with adiabatic hydrodynamical models, even when Rayleigh–Taylor instabilities are taken into account", and they explain the unexpectedly small gap by cosmic-ray acceleration at the forward shock, which raises the compression factor above 4 and pulls the blast wave inward towards the contact discontinuity. So part of the observed 0.16 is not Rayleigh–Taylor mixing at all. Nothing in Check 7 rests on the 0.93: taking their reading at face value and using only the pure-hydrodynamic simulation still leaves a factor 11.
Warren's radii carry two further systematics, both printed here because they are of the size of the quantity being discussed. Projection: a structured shell seen in projection favours its protruding parts, and their simulations put the bias at about 3 per cent for the blast wave and about 6 per cent for the contact discontinuity — which is why the projected ratio $241''/251'' = 0.9602$ becomes $0.93$ after deprojection. Threshold: their contact-discontinuity radius moves from $0.94$ to $0.98$ of $R_{\rm BW}$ as the detection threshold goes from 2 to 4 standard deviations.

What this section does not use, and why. Warren's strongest single azimuthal mode of the contact discontinuity, $n = 6$, has an amplitude of 3.3 per cent of the mean radius — a tempting comparator, and the right order of magnitude to make the prediction look better. It is refused, because the same sentence records that "the BW shows nearly the same value", and the blast wave is not Rayleigh–Taylor unstable. A number that both surfaces share cannot be measuring an instability that only one of them has. What is specific to the contact discontinuity is the high-wavenumber power, where it carries nearly an order of magnitude more than the blast wave, and its spectral slope, $P \propto k^{-1.5}$ against $k^{-2.2}$. Those are qualitative, and they are quoted as qualitative.

This changes Module 7. Module 7 §10 used to record that its Rayleigh–Taylor half had no astronomical check and that Modules 1–10 would not repay it. That sentence has been replaced: Module 7 now points here, and states the verdict before the reader arrives — the check, once made, refuted the transfer rather than confirming the law.

9. What this model captures, and what it misses

Every idealisation used above is named here, with the module that repays it where one exists and a plain statement of "not repaid in this book" where none does.

One thing this module does not miss is worth recording, because it is unusual. The check in §5 is against a table that no model touched, and the check in §6 is against an instrument that flew through the object. Neither has the circularity that Module 3 had to declare. What they have instead is a shortage of quoted uncertainties, and that is why §5.3 leans on Selby's $\sigma$ — the only honest standard deviation in the whole Trinity comparison.

10. Problems

Nine problems in the house set: three conceptual (C), three derivational (D), three computational (K). Every numerical answer below is produced by afd/figs/m08_numbers.py and independently verified by afd/figs/m08_problems_check.py.

C1. A supernova blast wave moves at $v_s = 5000\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$. Find the post-shock temperature from (7.1) for $\mu = 0.61$, $\mu = 1.00$ and $\mu = 0.50$, and state what the spread means for any quoted remnant temperature.
Solution

(7.1) at $\gamma = 5/3$ is $T_2 = 3\mu m_u v_s^2/(16k_B)$, so $T_2 \propto \mu$ exactly. With $v_s = 5\times10^8\ \mathrm{cm\,s^{-1}}$: $\mu = 0.61$ gives $3.439\times10^8$ K, $\mu = 1.00$ gives $5.638\times10^8$ K, $\mu = 0.50$ gives $2.819\times10^8$ K.

The three differ by a factor 2.0 across the range of $\mu$ that a real remnant might have — ionised cosmic abundance, neutral atomic hydrogen, fully ionised pure hydrogen. A post-shock temperature quoted without its $\mu$ is therefore uncertain by a factor 2 before any measurement error, which is larger than most of the observational uncertainties it would be compared against.

C2. Earth's bow shock stands in a solar wind of $v = 400\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$, $n = 5\ \mathrm{cm^{-3}}$ and $T = 10^5$ K, at $M_1 = 8$. Find all four ratios of Proposition 2 and the downstream density. Then compute $T_2$ twice — once from the exact ratio, once from the strong-shock formula (7.1) — and explain the difference.
Solution

At $M_1 = 8$, $\gamma = 5/3$: $\rho_2/\rho_1 = 3.8209$, which is 95.5 per cent of the ceiling 4; $p_2/p_1 = 79.75$; $T_2/T_1 = 20.87$; $M_2 = 0.4583$. The downstream density is $n_2 = 3.8209\times5 = 19.10\ \mathrm{cm^{-3}}$.

By the exact ratio, $T_2 = 20.87\times10^5 = 2.087\times10^6$ K. By (7.1) with $v_s = 4\times10^7\ \mathrm{cm\,s^{-1}}$ and $\mu = 0.61$, $T_2 = 2.201\times10^6$ K. The two differ by 5 per cent because $M_1 = 8$ is not infinite: (7.1) drops the $-(\gamma-1)$ in the numerator of $p_2/p_1$ and the $+2$ in the denominator of $\rho_2/\rho_1$, and at $M_1 = 8$ those terms are not yet negligible. The strong-shock form is an asymptote, and D1 asks where it becomes safe.

Note also $\Delta s/k_B = 3.2171$ from (3.4) — the entropy jump is of order the Boltzmann constant per particle, which is what "irreversible" means quantitatively here.

C3. Compute the entropy jump at $M_1 = 3$ for both $\gamma = 5/3$ and $\gamma = 7/5$. Then evaluate the same formulae at $M_1 = 0.9$, $0.7$ and $0.5$, and give the two separate reasons a rarefaction shock does not exist.
Solution

At $M_1 = 3$: $\gamma = 5/3$ gives $\rho_2/\rho_1 = 3.0000$, $p_2/p_1 = 11.0000$ and $\Delta s/k_B = 0.8503$; $\gamma = 7/5$ gives $3.8571$, $10.3333$ and $1.1137$.

Below $M_1 = 1$ the conservation laws still return solutions: $M_1 = 0.9$ gives $\rho_2/\rho_1 = 0.8504$, $p_2/p_1 = 0.7625$, $\Delta s/k_B = -0.00159$; $M_1 = 0.7$ gives $0.5616$, $0.3625$, $-0.07970$; $M_1 = 0.5$ gives $0.3077$, $0.0625$, $-1.21225$.

Reason one, thermodynamic. Every one of those entropy jumps is negative, so every one is forbidden by the second law. This applies on the whole range $M_1 \lt 1$.

Reason two, and it is not thermodynamic. Below $M_1 = \sqrt{(\gamma-1)/2\gamma} = 0.4472$ for $\gamma = 5/3$, the formula for $p_2/p_1$ returns a negative pressure — $-0.0500$ at $M_1 = 0.4$. On that range the rarefaction shock is not a solution the second law rejects; it is not a solution at all. The two reasons cover different ranges and must not be merged.

D1. How strong is "strong"? Find, for each of $\gamma = 5/3$ and $\gamma = 7/5$, the upstream Mach number at which $\rho_2/\rho_1$ reaches 99 per cent of its ceiling (3.3). Then check whether the Trinity shock at $t = 1$ ms qualifies.
Solution

Solve $\rho_2/\rho_1 = 0.99(\gamma+1)/(\gamma-1)$ for $M_1$ using the first of (3.1). For $\gamma = 5/3$: $M_1 = 17.2$, where the ratio is $3.9600$ against the ceiling $4.0000$. For $\gamma = 7/5$: $M_1 = 22.2$, where it is $5.9400$ against $6.0000$. The diatomic gas needs a stronger shock because its ceiling is further away in ratio terms.

Trinity at 1 ms: from Taylor's table $R \approx 38\ \mathrm{m}$, so $v_s = \tfrac25R/t = 14.4\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$. The ambient sound speed in air at one atmosphere with Taylor's $\rho_0$ is $0.337\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$, giving $M_1 = 43$. Strong by any measure, and comfortably past the 22.2 that $\gamma = 7/5$ requires.

D2. An ideal-gas shock has no thickness at all in the equations of Module 2, because those equations contain no length. Estimate the real thickness two ways — in sea-level air, and at the solar-wind termination shock — and say what each answer means for Definition 1.
Solution

Air. Adding viscosity gives the layer a width of a few mean free paths. In sea-level air $\lambda_{\rm mfp} \sim 6.5\times10^{-6}$ cm, so the layer is $\sim 2\times10^{-5}$ cm. The Trinity fireball at 1 ms had a radius of 38 m $= 3.8\times10^3$ cm, so the layer is $2\times10^{8}$ times thinner than the object it bounds. Definition 1 is safe by eight orders of magnitude.

The termination shock. The measured layer widths were 100 000–300 000 km, described by the observers as "a few times the ion inertial length", so $10^{10}$–$3\times10^{10}$ cm. The collisional mean free path for proton–proton Coulomb collisions, $\lambda_{\rm mfp} = (k_BT)^2/(\pi n e^4\ln\Lambda)$ with $n \approx 2\times10^{-3}\ \mathrm{cm^{-3}}$ and $T \approx 10^5$ K read approximately off the published figure axes and $\ln\Lambda = 25$, is $2.28\times10^{16}\ \mathrm{cm} = 1524$ AU.

The layer is therefore $8\times10^{5}$ to $2\times10^{6}$ times thinner than a mean free path. That is what "collisionless shock" means, and it is why the one-fluid closure fails there while the conservation laws do not: Proposition 1 needs only that fluxes balance, which holds whatever mediates the transition, but the assumption that one temperature describes all the ions needs collisions, and there are none.

D3. Using Proposition 6, find the radius inside which half the shocked mass lies, and describe the pressure in the interior. Do it for both values of $\gamma$.
Solution

Integrate $\lambda^2 g(\lambda)$ outward and find where it reaches half its total. For $\gamma = 5/3$ the mass median is at $r/R = 0.9392$; for $\gamma = 7/5$ at $r/R = 0.9581$. Nearly all the mass is in a thin shell just behind the front.

The interior is correspondingly empty. For $\gamma = 5/3$, $\rho/\rho_2$ is $0.3563$ at $r/R = 0.9$, $0.01531$ at $0.5$ and $3.4\times10^{-10}$ at $0.01$; for $\gamma = 7/5$, $0.2054$, $0.00172$ and $3.1\times10^{-16}$.

The pressure does the opposite: $p/p_2$ is $0.3098$ at $r/R = 0.5$ and $0.3062$ at $r/R = 0.01$ for $\gamma = 5/3$ — flat. That is what it must be. A region with almost no mass in it cannot support a pressure gradient, because there is nothing for the gradient to accelerate. The snowplough phase of §7 is the limit of this picture: a thin dense shell driven by a uniform interior pressure.

K1. A supernova remnant is observed with radius 20 pc. Assuming it is in the Sedov phase with $E = 10^{51}$ erg, find its age, shock speed and post-shock temperature for $n_{\rm H} = 0.1$, $1.0$ and $10\ \mathrm{cm^{-3}}$. How badly does an unknown ambient density hurt?
Solution

Invert (4.1) for $t$ at fixed $R$: $t = (R/\xi_0)^{5/2}\sqrt{\rho_0/E}$.

$n_{\rm H}$ (cm⁻³)age (yr)$v_s$ (km s⁻¹)$T_2$ (K)
0.1$1.016\times10^{4}$770$8.16\times10^{6}$
1.0$3.212\times10^{4}$244$8.16\times10^{5}$
10$1.016\times10^{5}$77$8.16\times10^{4}$

At fixed radius $t \propto \rho_0^{1/2}$, so a factor 100 in density is only a factor 10 in the inferred age. The square root is doing useful work: an order-of-magnitude guess at the ambient density costs a factor $\sqrt{10} = 3.2$ in the age, which is often tolerable. The temperature is less forgiving, falling by the full factor 100, because $T_2 \propto v_s^2 \propto t^{-6/5}$.

K2. Using Proposition 8, find $t_{\rm rad}$ and $R_{\rm rad}$ for $(E, n_{\rm H})$ equal to $(10^{51}, 1)$, $(10^{51}, 0.1)$, $(10^{51}, 10)$ and $(10^{50}, 1)$. Which parameter matters more?
Solution
$E$ (erg)$n_{\rm H}$ (cm⁻³)$t_{\rm rad}$ (yr)$R_{\rm rad}$ (pc)$T_2$ (K)$v_s$ (km s⁻¹)
$10^{51}$1.0$4.085\times10^{4}$22.02$6.11\times10^{5}$211
$10^{51}$0.1$1.458\times10^{5}$58.06$3.34\times10^{5}$156
$10^{51}$10$1.144\times10^{4}$8.35$1.12\times10^{6}$285
$10^{50}$1.0$2.441\times10^{4}$11.31$4.52\times10^{5}$181

Density matters more. A factor 100 in $n_{\rm H}$ moves $t_{\rm rad}$ by a factor 12.7 and $R_{\rm rad}$ by 7.0; a factor 10 in $E$ moves them by only 1.67 and 1.95. The reason is that cooling is a two-body process, so the cooling rate per unit volume goes as $n^2$ while the energy available goes as $E$ once.

Note also that the post-shock temperature at the transition is not a constant of the problem: it ranges from $3.34\times10^5$ to $1.12\times10^6$ K across these four cases. Quoting "the remnant becomes radiative at $10^6$ K" as though it were universal is wrong by a factor 3 at the low-density end.

K3. Taylor's method, worked as he might have set it for a student: take two rows only from his table, and get an energy from each. Do it for six different rows and explain the spread.
Solution

A single $(t, R)$ pair gives $R^5t^{-2}$ directly, and $E = K\rho_0R^5t^{-2}$ with $K = 0.851072$ and $\rho_0 = 1.25\times10^{-3}\ \mathrm{g\,cm^{-3}}$:

row$t$ (ms)$E$ (kt)
10.104.28
40.5218.63
111.5019.50
153.2617.10
204.6116.52
2562.0014.33

The estimates run from 4.28 to 19.50 kt. Excluding row 1 they still run from 14.33 to 19.50, a spread of 36 per cent, and they fall monotonically with time after row 11.

That spread is the refutation of §5.2, seen from the other side. If the model were right, every row would give the same energy. A one-point estimate hides the disagreement completely and returns a number with no visible uncertainty — which is precisely what makes single-point energy estimates dangerous. The same data, plotted as a residual, shows the structure at $7.3\,\sigma$.

Notation

Every symbol used in this module, with its units and the place it is defined. Three symbols collide with earlier modules and the collisions are resolved here rather than left to the reader.

symbolmeaningunitsdefined
$\rho_1, v_1, p_1$ / $\rho_2, v_2, p_2$density, normal speed and pressure upstream / downstream, in the frame of the shock$\mathrm{g\,cm^{-3}}$, $\mathrm{cm\,s^{-1}}$, $\mathrm{dyn\,cm^{-2}}$Definition 1
$D$, $v_s$speed of the shock surface through the laboratory frame; $v_s$ is the same quantity when the upstream gas is at rest, which is the case throughout §§4–8$\mathrm{cm\,s^{-1}}$Definition 1, (4.1)
$w$specific enthalpy $\gamma p/[(\gamma-1)\rho]$. Written $w$ and not $h$, because $h$ is the mixing width of §8 and this module uses both$\mathrm{erg\,g^{-1}}$Definition 1, (2.4)
$M_1$, $M_2$upstream and downstream Mach numbers, ratios to the adiabatic sound speed—Definition 2, (3.2)
$\mathcal{M}$the isothermal Mach number $v_1/c_T$ of Proposition 4. A different typeface from $M$ because it is a ratio to a different speed, smaller by $\sqrt\gamma$—(3.5)
$\gamma$, $c$, $c_T$ratio of specific heats; adiabatic sound speed $\sqrt{\gamma p/\rho}$; isothermal sound speed $\sqrt{k_BT/(\mu m_u)}$—, $\mathrm{cm\,s^{-1}}$, $\mathrm{cm\,s^{-1}}$(2.1), (3.5)
$\Delta s$entropy change per particle across the shock, quoted as $\Delta s/k_B$$\mathrm{erg\,K^{-1}}$(3.4)
$E$, $\rho_0$energy deposited at the point explosion; uniform ambient density ahead of the blast waveerg, $\mathrm{g\,cm^{-3}}$Proposition 5
$\lambda$COLLISION, declared. In §4 and Problem D3, $\lambda = r/R$ is the similarity variable, dimensionless. In Module 1 and in Problem D2 only, $\lambda$ with a subscript — $\lambda_{\rm mfp}$ — is a mean free path in cm; in Modules 4–7 a bare $\lambda$ is a wavelength. No section of this module uses two of the three. Problem D2 uses the mean free path and contains no similarity variable; §4 uses the similarity variable and contains no wavelength, and §7 uses neither, its $\Lambda(T)$ being a different symbol—, cm(4.2)
$u$, $g$, $\Pi$the similarity profiles of velocity, density and pressure in (4.2). $\Pi$ rather than $h$, for the reason given against $w$ above; the generating script m08_numbers.py calls it h, and the two are the same functionall dimensionless(4.2)
$\xi_0$, $J$, $K$the Sedov constant of (4.1); the energy integral of (4.4); Taylor's constant $K = 1/\xi_0^5 = 4\pi J$all dimensionless(4.1), (4.4)
$T_2$, $\mu$post-shock temperature; mean molecular weight measured against $m_u$, book-wide from Module 6. $\mu$ must be quoted with every $T_2$K, —(7.1)
$\Lambda(T)$, $t_{\rm cool}$, $n_e$, $n_{\rm H}$radiative cooling coefficient per unit $n_en_{\rm H}$; cooling time; electron and hydrogen number densities, with $n_e = 1.2\,n_{\rm H}$ for the fully ionised gas$\mathrm{erg\,cm^3\,s^{-1}}$, s, $\mathrm{cm^{-3}}$(7.2), (7.3)
$t_{\rm rad}$, $R_{\rm rad}$ / $t_{\rm PDS}$, $R_{\rm PDS}$, $t_{\rm sf}$the radiative transition from the criterion of Proposition 8 / the same transition from Cioffi et al.'s fitted formulae, and their shell-formation time. The two pairs are different quantities and §7.1 compares them rather than identifying themyr, pcProposition 8, §7.1
$m$COLLISION, declared. In §8 only, $m$ is the expansion index of $R \propto t^m$, dimensionless. Everywhere else in this book $m$ with a subscript is a mass — $m_u$ the atomic mass unit, $m_p$ the proton mass — and $M_\odot$ is the solar mass. §8 contains no mass symbol without a subscript—(8.1)
$h$, $\alpha_B$, $A$the Rayleigh–Taylor mixing width of §8; the bubble mixing coefficient measured in Module 7; the Atwood number of Module 7 Definition 2. $h$ is the mixing width in this module and nothing else — the enthalpy is $w$ and the similarity pressure is $\Pi$cm, —, —(8.1)
$R_{\rm BW}$, $R_{\rm cd}$, $R_{\rm RS}$radii of the blast wave (forward shock), the contact discontinuity and the reverse shock in a young remnantcm or arcsec as marked§8, Fig. 5
$k_B$, $m_u$, $e$, $\ln\Lambda$Boltzmann's constant; atomic mass unit; elementary charge in e.s.u.; the Coulomb logarithm of Module 1, used only in Problem D2$\mathrm{erg\,K^{-1}}$, g, esu, —Problem D2

Sources

Every published value this module compares against, with what was taken from it and from which page. Each was read from the text of the paper, extracted locally from the PDF; none was taken from a summary or from memory. One convention, used throughout this module: a § on its own is a section of this book and is a link; a section of a cited paper is written "their Sect. N", with no § and no link.

  1. The anchor. Sir Geoffrey Taylor, F.R.S., The formation of a blast wave by a very intense explosion. II. The atomic explosion of 1945, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A 201 (1065), 175–186 (1950), doi:10.1098/rspa.1950.0050, received 10 November 1949. The publisher returns HTTP 403; the PDF was read through the Internet Archive. Part I is the same volume, 159–174.
    p. 175: the device "fired at a height of 100 ft. above the ground and the bottom of the ball of fire reached the ground in less than 1 msec", and "The impact on the ground does not appear to have disturbed the conditions in the upper half of the globe which continued to expand as a nearly perfect luminous hemisphere bounded by a sharp edge which must be taken as a shock wave."
    p. 176, Table 1: the 25 $(t, R)$ pairs, with his columns of $\log_{10}t$, $\log_{10}R$ (R in cm) and $\tfrac52\log_{10}R$, and his authority column A–D. Transcribed into afd/data/taylor1950_trinity.dat, whose header records the two times recovered from his logarithm column.
    p. 176, eq. (1): $\tfrac52\log_{10}R - \log_{10}t = 11{\cdot}915$. p. 179, eq. (3): $R^5t^{-2} = 6{\cdot}67\times10^{23}\ \mathrm{cm^5\,s^{-2}}$. The two are mutually inconsistent by 1.36 per cent, as §5.3 records.
    p. 179: "assuming that $\rho_0$ may be taken as $1{\cdot}25\times10^{-3}$ g./cm.$^3$". p. 180: "taking 1 g. of T.N.T. as liberating 1000 calories or $4{\cdot}18\times10^{10}$ ergs, 1 ton will liberate $4{\cdot}25\times10^{16}$ ergs"; Table 3 for $\gamma = 1{\cdot}40$: $I_1 = 0{\cdot}185$, $I_2 = 0{\cdot}187$, $K = 0{\cdot}856$, $E = 7{\cdot}14\times10^{20}$ erg, T.N.T. equivalent 16,800 tons; and for $\gamma = 1{\cdot}667$, 9,500 tons. p. 181: the alternative estimate of 23,700 tons at $\gamma \approx 1{\cdot}3$, which he judges less likely to be accurate.
    J. E. Mack, Semi-popular motion-picture record of the Trinity explosion, U.S. Atomic Energy Commission MDDC-221 (declassified 17 July 1947), the source of Taylor's photographs, is named through Taylor and was not read.
  2. The modern yield. H. D. Selby et al., A new assessment statement for the Trinity nuclear test, 75 years later, LA-UR-21-20675, Los Alamos National Laboratory, published in Nuclear Technology; read as arXiv:2103.06258.
    Abstract: "a final yield determination of $24.8 \pm 2$ kilotons TNT equivalent, substantially higher than the previous DOE released value of 21 kilotons."
    Body: thirteen trinitite samples analysed through an Extinct Radionuclide System that "folded the measurement data with modern radiochemical and physics simulation tools" with "a Bayesian statistical treatment". And the caveat §5.3 prints: "This new assessment's uncertainty overlaps with the previous DOE value of $21 \pm 2$ kt, where we assigned a conservative 10% relative uncertainty on its value of 21 kt. The source of the accepted DOE yield is not cited in the official DOE publications."
  3. The Sedov constant, two independent statements of it. X. Tang and R. A. Chevalier, Shock evolution in non-radiative supernova remnants, MNRAS; read as arXiv:1607.06391, Appendix A: "For an ideal gas with specific heat index $\gamma = 5/3$, the dimensionless constant $\xi(s)$ defined in the ST solution equals 2.026 when $s = 0$ and $3/2\pi$ when $s = 2$ (Taylor 1946; Sedov 1959; Book 1994)." Taylor (1946), Sedov (1959) and Book (1994) are named through this paper and were not read.
    J. R. Kamm and F. X. Timmes, On efficient generation of numerically robust Sedov solutions, LA-UR-07-2849, Los Alamos National Laboratory (2007), their Sect. 6: "$\rho_0 = 1$ g/cm$^3$, $\omega = 0$, $\gamma = 1.4$, $E_{\rm blast} = 0.851072$ erg in spherical geometry. The shock is at $r = 1.0$ cm at the final time of $t = 1.0$ s."
  4. The astrophysical check. J. D. Richardson, J. C. Kasper, C. Wang, J. W. Belcher and A. J. Lazarus, Cool heliosheath plasma and deceleration of the upstream solar wind at the termination shock, Nature 454, 63–66 (3 July 2008), doi:10.1038/nature07024.
    p. 63: the crossings "between 30 August and 1 September 2007", Voyager 2 at heliolatitude 26° S crossing at 84 AU.
    p. 64: "If all the flow energy were transferred to the thermal ions as happens at planetary bow shocks, the heliosheath temperature would be $10^6$ K, whereas the observed temperature is $10^5$ K"; "The energy per proton decreases by 80% at the termination shock"; pickup ions "hot protons created when neutral interstellar particles are ionized in the heliosphere", with Voyager 1 extrapolations "consistent with roughly 80% of the solar wind flow energy being transferred to the pickup ions".
    p. 65, Table 1: TS-2 shock speed $94.0 \pm 3.4\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$, angle to B $82.8° \pm 3.9°$, compression ratio $2.38 \pm 0.14$, upstream fast-mode Mach number $4.9 \pm 0.1$, heliosheath fast-mode Mach number $1.1 \pm 0.1$; TS-3 compression $1.58 \pm 0.71$. Its caption states the orientation is "the direction that minimizes the differences of the Rankine–Hugoniot conditions across the shock", which is why §6.3 refuses the comparison. Shock widths "300,000 km for TS-2 and 100,000 km for TS-3", "a few times the ion inertial length".
    p. 65, Figure 5 caption: at Neptune's bow shock the speed "fell by a factor of four", the density "increased by a factor of four" and the temperature "increased by a factor of 100"; at the termination shock the corresponding factors are two, two and ten. The caption gives no uncertainty on any of them.
  5. The radiative transition. D. F. Cioffi, C. F. McKee and E. Bertschinger, Dynamics of radiative supernova remnants, The Astrophysical Journal 334, 252–265 (1988), read from the ADS scan of the journal page. Their eq. (3.33a) $R_{\rm PDS} = 14.0\,E_{51}^{2/7}n_0^{-3/7}\zeta_m^{-1/7}$ pc and eq. (3.33b) $v_{\rm PDS} = 413\,n_0^{1/7}\zeta_m^{3/14}E_{51}^{1/14}\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$; eq. (3.10) $t_{\rm sf} = 3.61\times10^4E_{51}^{3/14}n_0^{-4/7}\zeta_m^{-5/14}$ yr; eq. (3.11) setting $t_{\rm PDS} = t_{\rm sf}/e$. Their analytic cooling function is $\Lambda = 1.6\times10^{-19}\zeta_mT^{-1/2}$ for $10^5\ \mathrm{K} \lt T \lt 10^{7.5}\ \mathrm{K}$, not the $T^{-0.7}$ branch of (7.2), which §7.1 records. Their quoted simulation shell-formation time of $1.3\times10^5$ yr is for a lower ambient density and is not comparable with the numbers here.
  6. Tycho, and the debt from Module 7. J. S. Warren et al., Cosmic-ray acceleration at the forward shock in Tycho's supernova remnant: evidence from Chandra X-ray observations, The Astrophysical Journal 634, 376 (2005), read as arXiv:astro-ph/0507478.
    Abstract: "The azimuthal-angle-averaged radius of the BW is 251″. For the CD and RS we find average radii of 241″ and 183″, respectively. Taking account of projection effects, we find ratios of 1 : 0.93 : 0.70 (BW : CD : RS)."
    Their Sect. 3: the projected ratio 96 per cent; the 2σ and 4σ radii at 94 and 98 per cent; the ejecta reaching the blast wave "in discrete clumps at several azimuthal angles"; the projection bias of "$\sim$3% and $\sim$6%". Their Sect. 4: "$P \sim k^{-1.5}$ (CD) and $P \sim k^{-2.2}$ (BW)"; the $n = 6$ component whose "amplitude … is 3.3% of the average radius; the BW shows nearly the same value" — which is why §8.3 refuses it. Their Sect. 7: "Wang & Chevalier (2001) find that the maximum extent of these fingers can extend to 87% of the BW radius, while their one-dimensional simulations place the CD at 77% of the BW radius" — the source of the 0.77 used here. Warren et al. state it; the number does not appear in Wang & Chevalier's own text, so it is Warren's reading of that paper's results and carries no stated uncertainty, which is why the Check 7 box prices a move of $\pm0.02$ in it. Summary: "The ratio of the CD to BW radii (0.93) is inconsistent with adiabatic hydrodynamical models, even when Rayleigh–Taylor instabilities are taken into account."
    Blondin & Ellison (2001) and Decourchelle et al. (2000), for the cosmic-ray compression argument, are named through this paper and were not read.
  7. The simulation the mixing law is measured against. C.-Y. Wang and R. A. Chevalier, Instabilities and clumping in Type Ia supernova remnants, The Astrophysical Journal 549, 1119 (2001), read as arXiv:astro-ph/0005105, directly and not through Warren.
    "at $t' = 1.6$, the region occupied by the unstable ejecta does not extend beyond 85% of the remnant radius" — the comparator of §8.2. "At Tycho's present age of 427 years ($t' = 1.7$) the model places the reverse shock and the forward shock at radii of 2.08 pc and 3.09 pc, while they decelerate with expansion parameters of $m = 0.15$ and $m = 0.47$." The clump density contrast "must be at least 100 for the conditions in Tycho's remnant". The saturation mechanism: "the forward growth of the caps is blocked by the drag of the flow and the fingers do not extend farther from the dense shell at the contact discontinuity." And, comparing two dimensions with one, "the density peak at the contact discontinuity is not present" in 2-D — which is the evidence for $A \to 1$ used in §8.1.
  8. The expansion index. S. Katsuda et al., X-ray measured dynamics of Tycho's supernova remnant, The Astrophysical Journal 709, 1387 (2010), read as arXiv:1001.2484. The forward-shock proper motion "varies from 0″.20 yr$^{-1}$ (expansion index $m = 0.33$, where $R = t^m$) to 0″.40 yr$^{-1}$ ($m = 0.65$) with azimuthal angle in 2000-2007 measurements, and 0″.14 yr$^{-1}$ ($m = 0.26$) to 0″.40 yr$^{-1}$ in 2003-2007 measurements", with an "average expansion index of $\sim$0.5" and a body value of $\sim0.52$; the reverse-shocked ejecta give $m = 0.43$–$0.64$.
  9. Quoted from Module 7, not re-read here. A. Shimony, C. M. Huntington, K. A. Flippo, Y. Elbaz, S. A. MacLaren, D. Shvarts and G. Malamud, arXiv:2210.06631v1 (2022), a preprint with no journal reference, for $\alpha_B = 0.038 \pm 0.008$ and for the theoretical $\sim0.05$ for three-dimensional immiscible fluids. Both values were read from that paper during Module 7 and verified there; $\alpha_B$ is the bubble coefficient, and this module prints no value for the spike coefficient because no source it holds gives one.
  10. Constants and earlier modules. CODATA 2018 for $k_B$, $m_u$ and $e$; IAU 2015 for the nominal solar mass; 1 kt $\equiv 4.184\times10^{19}$ erg, definitional; 1 atm $= 1.01325\times10^6\ \mathrm{dyn\,cm^{-2}}$, definitional. From Module 1: the Coulomb mean free path formula and $\ln\Lambda$, used in Problem D2, and the collisionless criterion invoked in §6.2. From Module 2: the conservation forms integrated in Proposition 1. From Module 4: the adiabatic sound speed of Definition 2. From Module 6: the convention that $\mu$ is measured against $m_u$. From Module 7: the mixing law $h = \alpha Agt^2$, the Atwood number, and the decelerating-shell acceleration $g = m(1-m)R/t^2$, all three used in Proposition 9.